Over the past two months, gold prices have settled into the $910 to $950 range as investment demand for the precious metal continues to balloon. Gold stocks, on the other hand, remain in the doldrums.
The gold stock market is now dependent on a new breakout for precious metals prices. And in order for precious metal stocks to disconnect from the global financial turmoil, gold and silver prices will need to make some pretty big moves.
In the case of gold, I believe the yellow metal would need to move over $1,100 an ounce to force this disconnect from general market activity. In the case of silver, I am looking for a breakout in excess of $23 an ounce.
So, the question is: when will this next wave hit?
Gold was up pretty big this week. But I don’t see the big breakout occurring until sometime in the fall when a confluence of factors appears. In the meantime, I expect to see a sideways trading pattern for the next six weeks or so before things start to heat up again.
I continue to believe with all that is happening in the United States and worldwide, higher gold and silver prices are going to rule the day. This would dictate for us to stay on course with gold stocks and not fret too much about what happens over the summer.
On the other hand, it’s always important to pay attention to any short-term profit situations and cash up some on any opportunity to do so.
As I tell subscribers of my Mining Speculator service, if you find yourself with a position that has doubled from where you bought it, you should take 50% off the table and let the rest run to see what can happen. In this market, look for any short-term profit situations and pay yourself back whenever you can.
For the balance of the summer, I am personally looking for gold companies with the aggressive drill programs to come up with the results we need for higher share prices. Until we get breakout gold prices, the best we can hope for is a set of stellar drill results.
When the breakout does occur, the gold stock market could really take off. For now, the best time to add shares will be sometime in the next few weeks.
Big money is not made with the masses — it is made by the few who saw early on what was happening and did something about it. It is made by those not afraid to go against the grain and see incredible opportunity where others can’t even see their hand in front of their own face.
The greatest investment opportunities are always during times of great crisis. Precious metal stocks, in my opinion, continue to represent one of the top prospects for making big chunks of money while others lament.
As the gold market kicks back into gear, I believe we will make up any lost ground quickly — especially if you have properly pruned your portfolio and added the right mix of companies that the market is looking for.
Good Investing,
Greg McCoach
Editor, Gold World
Investment Director, Mining Speculator